Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.246788 0.265289 0.284890 0.307269 0.332193 0.359189 0.390766
2025-12-07 0.213502 0.239761 0.269371 0.305519 0.348852 0.399641 0.464438
2025-12-14 0.192870 0.223069 0.258605 0.304093 0.361643 0.433261 0.531163
2025-12-21 0.175513 0.207410 0.246147 0.297541 0.365341 0.453854 0.581962
2025-12-28 0.167443 0.201841 0.244859 0.303907 0.385031 0.496110 0.666591
2026-01-04 0.159689 0.195736 0.241954 0.307286 0.400312 0.533291 0.748844
2026-01-11 0.151968 0.188924 0.237323 0.307501 0.410623 0.563860 0.825133
2026-01-18 0.143347 0.180241 0.229397 0.302171 0.411945 0.580508 0.880822
2026-01-25 0.134753 0.171026 0.220045 0.293888 0.407773 0.587653 0.920751
2026-02-01 0.128021 0.163952 0.213182 0.288617 0.407535 0.600763 0.973035
2026-02-08 0.121574 0.156917 0.205924 0.282145 0.404664 0.608885 1.016901
2026-02-15 0.116193 0.151102 0.200068 0.277341 0.403947 0.620403 1.069122
2026-02-22 0.113428 0.148994 0.199663 0.281213 0.418378 0.661334 1.192230
2026-03-01 0.109487 0.145017 0.196292 0.280195 0.424498 0.688039 1.291488
2026-03-08 0.105813 0.141240 0.192986 0.278989 0.430087 0.714340 1.396146
2026-03-15 0.101289 0.135992 0.187147 0.273186 0.426845 0.722687 1.459089
2026-03-22 0.099843 0.135248 0.188171 0.278832 0.444930 0.776652 1.653544
2026-03-29 0.097876 0.133612 0.187686 0.281826 0.458273 0.822584 1.841425
2026-04-05 0.095419 0.131112 0.185683 0.282016 0.466169 0.857690 2.009891
2026-04-12 0.092071 0.127106 0.181072 0.277293 0.463898 0.869309 2.109280
2026-04-19 0.088374 0.122431 0.175181 0.269946 0.455739 0.866117 2.159505
2026-04-26 0.085423 0.118824 0.170894 0.265264 0.452667 0.874797 2.254266
2026-05-03 0.082416 0.115033 0.166160 0.259512 0.446922 0.876242 2.324322